Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.222015 0.258318 0.298759 0.347169 0.403572 0.467254 0.544671
2025-02-23 0.162033 0.209179 0.267435 0.344802 0.445024 0.570711 0.740715
2025-03-02 0.127349 0.176523 0.241754 0.334797 0.464461 0.639310 0.893983
2025-03-09 0.110251 0.161955 0.234636 0.344551 0.507189 0.739986 1.100399
2025-03-16 0.095321 0.147196 0.223853 0.345784 0.535803 0.822211 1.289756
2025-03-23 0.084970 0.137201 0.217903 0.352210 0.571472 0.917653 1.510374
2025-03-30 0.073903 0.124242 0.205227 0.345642 0.584751 0.978516 1.682617
2025-04-06 0.065465 0.114239 0.195689 0.342378 0.602136 1.046979 1.875192
2025-04-13 0.059129 0.106845 0.189364 0.343366 0.626272 1.128902 2.100954
2025-04-20 0.055919 0.104460 0.191247 0.358810 0.677618 1.264300 2.440960
2025-04-27 0.052610 0.101414 0.191462 0.371006 0.724155 1.396073 2.791099
2025-05-04 0.049404 0.098120 0.190737 0.381149 0.767730 1.527034 3.156442
2025-05-11 0.045640 0.093372 0.186860 0.385013 0.800209 1.641997 3.508986
2025-05-18 0.041598 0.087578 0.180261 0.382596 0.819718 1.733646 3.826612
2025-05-25 0.037205 0.080489 0.170155 0.371472 0.819235 1.783236 4.059342
2025-06-01 0.035304 0.078458 0.170301 0.382314 0.867650 1.943328 4.561290
2025-06-08 0.032790 0.074761 0.166417 0.383685 0.894937 2.059958 4.978875
2025-06-15 0.030973 0.072402 0.165169 0.390827 0.936270 2.213340 5.505032
2025-06-22 0.028293 0.067720 0.158131 0.383526 0.942424 2.285179 5.840987
2025-06-29 0.026133 0.064009 0.152904 0.379899 0.956986 2.378852 6.245117
2025-07-06 0.024472 0.061312 0.149762 0.380996 0.983437 2.504994 6.751379
2025-07-13 0.023879 0.061193 0.152845 0.398163 1.053186 2.749171 7.607660
2025-07-20 0.023102 0.060513 0.154455 0.411720 1.115228 2.981289 8.464674